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Oil & Gas

Tuesday
28 Jul 2020

Oil steady as U.S. Stimulus Hopes Counter Demand Concerns

28 Jul 2020  by Bozorgmehr Sharafedin   

Brent crude was up 7 cents, or 0.2%, at $43.48 a barrel at 0811 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) U.S. crude fell 11 cents, or 0.3%, to $41.49 a barrel.

“Oil continues to trade in a range with its supply fundamentals helping to set a floor while the economic and demand outlook is providing the cap,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity research at BNP Paribas.

A big U.S. fiscal package could boost oil prices but is currently deadlocked in negotiations between Democrats who have made a $3 trillion proposal and Republicans who have tabled a $1 trillion plan.

Traders are also watching out as the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy-setting panel meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, where it is expected to reiterate it will keep interest rates near zero for years to come.

Brent crude was deeper in contango at as much as 49 cents per barrel between prices for September and October, compared to 1 cent in early July.

Contango is where the futures price of a commodity is higher than the spot price.

“This suggests that the tightening we were seeing in the market has eased somewhat, with the demand outlook more uncertain given the resurgence of COVID-19 cases in some regions,” said ING’s head of commodities strategy, Warren Patterson.

U.S. inventory data may show that refined product stockpiles declined last week, while crude oil stockpiles are expected to have held steady, five analysts polled by Reuters estimated.

On the down side for fuel demand, Europe’s largest low-cost airline, Ryanair, on Monday cut its annual passenger target by a quarter and warned a resurgence in COVID-19 infections could lower that further.

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