For Reliance, this isn’t its first diplomatic oil shuffle. India paused its Venezuelan oil purchases back in March, spooked by whispers that U.S. sanctions might boomerang. That pause didn’t just reflect regulatory jitters—it underscored the global high stakes of keeping Washington happy. But now, with the ink barely dry on that U.S. license, Reliance appears ready to wade back in, albeit carefully.
Venezuela, for its part, is riding a tricky wave. Its sanctions-hit oil sector has relied on barter-style deals to survive, trading crude for much-needed diluents and other essentials. Reliance's return is a lifeline, but it’s a tenuous one—dependent on staying within the narrow lines of U.S. approval.
Looking at the oil trade globally, the swaps are but a flash in the pan.
However, the swaps do offer a glimpse into the power behind U.S. policy tweaks.
While India was out of the mix, Russia and China were the main destinations for Venezuelan crude oil.